电工技术学报  2015, Vol. 30 Issue (24): 171-180    DOI:
论文 |
电力系统运行状态的趋势辨识
王涛1, 张尚1, 顾雪平1, 贾京华2
1. 华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院 保定 071003; 2. 河北电力调度通信中心 石家庄 050021
Trends Identification of Power System Operating States
Wang Tao1, Zhang Shang1, Gu Xueping1, Jia Jinghua2
1. North China Electric Power University Baoding 071003 China; 2. Hebei Power Dispatch and Communication Center Shijiazhuang 050021 China
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摘要 实时监测电力系统运行状态的变化趋势对预防大停电事故具有重要意义。依据系统运行的实时监测信息,提出一种电力系统运行状态的趋势辨识模型。该模型兼顾系统运行点距状态边界的距离及运行状态趋势变化的方向和速率。通过模糊层次分析法对电网运行状态进行综合评价,并依据综合评价值进行系统运行状态的定性趋势分析,实现电网运行状态的综合趋势辨识。仿真结果表明,提出的方法能够有效辨识系统运行状态的变化趋势,可用于系统运行状态的智能监测与评估。
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关键词 电力系统定性趋势分析模糊层次分析趋势辨识    
Abstract:In order to prevent cascading failures and large-scale blackouts, it is important to monitor the operating state variations of power systems. Based on the real-time monitoring information, an identification model for moving trends of the power system operating states is proposed in this paper, which allows the system operators vividly identify the unsafe condition and continuously monitor the distance between the real state and unsafe state as well as the direction and speed of the operating state trends. Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is employed to evaluate the operating state. The trends of the generated indicator are identified by qualitative trend analysis (QTA), from which dynamic trends of the whole system can be easily obtained. Simulation results show that the proposed model can effectively identify the moving trends of the power system operation states. It can be applied to monitor and assess the level of security operation of power system.
Key wordsPower system    qualitative trend analysis    fuzzy analytic hierarchy process    trend identification   
收稿日期: 2013-11-10      出版日期: 2015-12-30
PACS: TM711  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(51077052)和中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(13MS108)资助项目
作者简介: 王 涛 男,1976年生,博士,副教授,研究方向为电力系统安全防御与恢复控制、智能技术在电力系统中的应用。张 尚 女,1991年生,博士研究生,研究方向为电力系统安全防御与恢复控制。
引用本文:   
王涛, 张尚, 顾雪平, 贾京华. 电力系统运行状态的趋势辨识[J]. 电工技术学报, 2015, 30(24): 171-180. Wang Tao, Zhang Shang, Gu Xueping, Jia Jinghua. Trends Identification of Power System Operating States. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2015, 30(24): 171-180.
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