Abstract:Lithium-ion batteries are widely utilized in electric vehicles and energy storage systems due to their superior performance. However, with the continuous operation of lithium-ion batteries, the performance of lithium-ion batteries deteriorates over time, which indirectly leads to the degradation of equipment performance or a catastrophic occurrence. Therefore, accurately predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of the Lithium-ion batteries can maintain and replace the battery in time to ensure the safe and reliable operation of the battery system. This paper extracts indirect health factors that can characterize the degradation of battery performance from the charging process, and analyzes the correlation between health factors and capacity via the correlation analysis methods of Pearson and Spearman. A prediction method of an improved ant lion optimization algorithm (IALO) and support vector regression (SVR) based on indirect health factors is proposed, which can achieve accurate online prediction of RUL for Lithium-ion batteries. The battery data set of NASA is utilized to verify the IALO-SVR method. Compared with the BP and SVR methods, the experimental results show that the IALO-SVR method can accurately predict the RUL of lithium-ion battery.
徐佳宁, 倪裕隆, 朱春波. 基于改进支持向量回归的锂电池剩余寿命预测[J]. 电工技术学报, 2021, 36(17): 3693-3704.
Xu Jianing, Ni Yulong, Zhu Chunbo. Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Improved Support Vector Regression. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2021, 36(17): 3693-3704.
[1] 张振宇, 汪光森, 聂世雄, 等. 脉冲大倍率放电条件下磷酸铁锂电池荷电状态估计[J]. 电工技术学报, 2019, 34(8): 1769-1779. Zhang Zhenyu, Wang Guangsen, Nie Shixiong, et al.State of charge estimation of LiFePO4 battery under the condition of high rate pulsed discharge[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2019, 34(8): 1769-1779. [2] 李楠, 高峰. 基于储能型模块化多电平系统的多时间尺度控制策略[J]. 电工技术学报, 2017, 32(17): 47-56. Li Nan, Gao Feng.Multi-time scale operational principle for battery integrated modular multilevel converter[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2017, 32(17): 47-56. [3] 郭永芳, 黄凯, 李志刚. 基于短时搁置端电压压降的快速锂离子电池健康状态预测[J].电工技术学报, 2019, 34(19): 3968-3978. Guo Yongfang, Huang Kai, Li Zhigang.Fast state of health prediction of lithium-ion battery based on terminal voltage drop during rest for short time[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2019, 34(19): 3968-3978. [4] 焦自权, 范兴明, 张鑫, 等. 基于改进粒子滤波算法的锂离子电池状态跟踪与剩余使用寿命预测方法[J]. 电工技术学报, 2020, 35(18): 3979-3993. Jiao Ziquan, Fan Xingming, Zhang Xin, et al.State tracking and remaining useful life predictive method of Li-ion battery based on improved particle filter algorithm[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2020, 35(18): 3979-3993. [5] 孙丙香, 任鹏博, 陈育哲, 崔正韬, 姜久春. 锂离子电池在不同区间下的衰退影响因素分析及任意区间的老化趋势预测[J]. 电工技术学报, 2021, 36(3): 666-674. Sun Bingxiang, Ren Pengbo, Chen Yuzhe, et al.Analysis of influencing factors of degradation under different interval stress and prediction of aging trend in any interval for lithium-ion battery[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2021, 36(3): 666-674. [6] Kong S N, Moo C S, Chen Y P, et al.Enhanced coulomb counting method for estimating state-of-charge and state-of-health of lithium-ion batteries[J]. Applied Energy, 2009, 86(9): 1506-1511. [7] Prasad G K, Rahn C D.Model based identification of aging parameters in lithium ion batteries[J]. Journal of Power Sources, 2013, 232: 79-85. [8] Fan Guodong, Li Xiaoyu, Canova M.A reduced-order electrochemical model of Li-ion batteries for control and estimation applications[J]. IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 2018, 67(1): 76-91. [9] He Wei, Williard N, Osterman M, et al.Prognostics of lithium-ion batteries based on Dempster-Shafer theory and the Bayesian Monte Carlo method[J]. Journal of Power Sources, 2011, 196(23): 10314-10321. [10] Zhang Xin, Miao Qiang, Liu Zhiwen.Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery using an improved UPF method based on MCMC[J]. Microelectronics Reliability, 2017, 75: 288-295. [11] Ma Yan, Chen Yang, Zhou Xiuwen, et al.Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery based on Gauss-Hermite particle filter[J]. IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology, 2019, 27(4): 1788-1795. [12] Hariharan K S, Kumar V S.A nonlinear equivalent circuit model for lithium ion cells[J]. Journal of Power Sources, 2013, 222: 210-217. [13] Zou Yuan, Li S E, Shao Bing, et al.State-space model with non-integer order derivatives for lithium-ion battery[J]. Applied Energy, 2016, 161: 330-336. [14] Zhang Xin, Miao Qiang, Liu Zhiwen.Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery using an improved UPF method based on MCMC[J]. Microelectronics Reliability, 2017, 75: 288-295. [15] 刘月峰, 张公, 张晨荣, 等. 锂离子电池RUL预测方法综述[J]. 计算机工程, 2020, 46(4): 11-18. Liu Yuefeng, Zhang Gong, Zhang Chenrong, et al.Review of RUL prediction method for lithium-ion batteries[J]. Computer Engineering, 2020, 46(4): 11-18. [16] Patil M A, Tagade P, Hariharan K S, et al.A novel multistage support vector machine based approach for Li ion battery remaining useful life estimation[J]. Applied Energy, 2015, 159: 285-297. [17] Zhang Shuzhi, Zhai Baoyu, Guo Xu, et al.Synchronous estimation of state of health and remaining useful lifetime for lithium-ion battery using the incremental capacity and artificial neural networks[J]. Journal of Energy Storage, 2019, 26: 100951. [18] 刘健, 陈自强, 黄德扬, 等. 基于等压差充电时间的锂离子电池寿命预测[J]. 上海交通大学学报, 2019, 53(9): 1058-1065. Liu Jian, Chen Ziqiang, Huang Deyang, et al.Remaining useful life prediction for lithium-ion batteries based on time interval of equal charging voltage difference[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 2019, 53(9): 1058-1065. [19] Li L L, Liu Z F, Tseng M L, et al.Enhancing the lithium-ion battery life predictability using a hybrid method[J]. Applied Soft Computing, 2019, 74: 110-121. [20] Gao Dong, Huang Miaohua.Prediction of remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery based on multi-kernel support vector machine with particle swarm optimization[J]. Journal of Power Electronics, 2017, 17(5): 1288-1297. [21] Liu Datong, Zhou Jianbao, Pan Dawei, et al.Lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation with an optimized relevance vector machine algorithm with incremental learning[J]. Measurement, 2015, 63: 143-151. [22] Cortes C, Vapnik V.Support-vector networks[J]. Machine Learning, 1995, 20(3): 273-297. [23] Mirjalili S.The ant lion optimizer[J]. Advances in Engineering Software, 2015, 83: 80-98. [24] Viswanathan G M, Afanasyev V, Buldyrev S V, et al.Lévy flight search patterns of wandering albatrosses[J]. Nature, 1996, 381: 413-415. [25] Goebel K, Saha B, Saxena A, et al.Prognostics in battery health management[J]. IEEE Instrumentation and Measurement Magazine, 2008, 11(4): 33-40. [26] Yang Jing, Peng Zhen, Wang Hongmin, et al.The remaining useful life estimation of lithium-ion battery based on improved extreme learning machine algorithm[J]. International Journal of Electrochemical Science, 2018, 13: 4991-5004.