Review of Photovoltaic Power Output Prediction Technology
Lai Changwei, Li Jinghua, Chen Bo, Huang Yujin, Wei Shanyang
Guangxi Key Laboratory of Power System Optimization and Energy-Saving Technology School of Electrical Engineering Guangxi University Nanning 530004 China
Abstract Accurate prediction of photovoltaic power output is of great significance to ensure the security, stability and economic operation of the system after high proportion of PV access. At present, the research of photovoltaic power output prediction technology is still at stage of extensive research in our country. The research results of photovoltaic power output prediction technology are summarized in this paper. Firstly, the development of photovoltaic power generation system and its forecasting status are analyzed. Then, the current prediction methods and technologies, the measurement index of prediction effect and so on are combed, classified, summarized and commented respectively from the three aspects of point prediction, interval prediction and probability prediction. Finally, the future research direction of photovoltaic development and output prediction are discussed according to the current situation and development trend of photovoltaic industry in China. It is hoped that this work can provide reference for researchers in the field of photovoltaic power generation prediction.
Lai Changwei,Li Jinghua,Chen Bo等. Review of Photovoltaic Power Output Prediction Technology[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2019, 34(6): 1201-1217.
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2019, Vol. 34 
