埋地管道HEMP响应的不确定度量化

doi:10.19595/j.cnki.1000-6753.tces.180580

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Abstract High-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) can induce current and voltage on buried oil/gas pipelines, which may affect the monitoring devices and cathodic protection systems of oil and gas pipelines. In the calculation of the coupling response, it is necessary to consider the uncertainty of the response caused by the variation of the input parameters. The computational efficiency of the traditional Monte Carlo method will decrease with the increase of the sample size. Based on stochastic collocation method (SC) and stochastic reduced order models (SROM) method, the uncertainty quantification calculation model of current and voltage response of buried pipeline have been established in this paper. For the Bell Lab waveform of HEMP, taking incident angle and incident azimuth as random input variables, the statistical information of response current and voltage of buried pipeline has been calculated. Taking the calculation results of Monte Carlo method as reference, the accuracy and computational efficiency of the SC and SROM method have been compared. Finally, based on the SC method, the sensitivity of the response current to the input parameters has been analyzed. The results of the study can provide relevant reference for the uncertainty quantification of buried pipelines.

Key words： High-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) oil/gas pipelines stochastic collocation method stochastic reduced order models sensitivity

Received: 11 April 2018 Published: 14 May 2019

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	Liu Qing
	Wang Chendong
	Li Zhanyu
	Wang Yinglan

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Liu Qing,Wang Chendong,Li Zhanyu等. Uncertainty Quantification of Response of Buried Pipeline to High-Altitude Electromagnetic Pulse[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2019, 34(9): 1789-1797.

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https://dgjsxb.ces-transaction.com/EN/10.19595/j.cnki.1000-6753.tces.180580 OR https://dgjsxb.ces-transaction.com/EN/Y2019/V34/I9/1789

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