城市电网规划自然灾害风险评价研究

Abstract
Figure/Table
References
Related Citation (6)

Download: PDF (412 KB) HTML (1 KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

Abstract Natural disasters have caused tremendous losses to the power grid in recent years. Now the urgent need of research on risk assessment in urban electric power network planning is how to scientifically assess the socio-economic impact on the city power and the society. Firstly, the damage and impact of power grid caused by natural disasters are summarized in this paper; then risk assessment model about the probability of occurrence of natural disasters and the impact on grid is established based on the information diffusion theory. Results of the case study prove that the proposed method can be suitable to adopt in risk assessment and provide a basis for decision of urban network planning considering the natural disaster risks.

Key words： Electric power network planning natural disaster risk assessment information diffusion

Received: 11 March 2010 Published: 10 March 2014

PACS:	TM343
	TM31

	Service

	E-mail this article
	Add to my bookshelf
	Add to citation manager
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	Articles by authors
	He Yongxiu
	Zhu Jiang
	Luo Tao
	He Haiying

Cite this article:

He Yongxiu,Zhu Jiang,Luo Tao等. Risk Assessment of Natural Disaster in Urban Electric Power Network Planning[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2011, 26(12): 205-210.

URL:

http://dgjsxb.ces-transaction.com/EN/ OR http://dgjsxb.ces-transaction.com/EN/Y2011/V26/I12/205

[1] 王绵斌, 谭忠富, 张蓉, 等. 基于“增量法”下的电网投资风险评估模型[J]. 电工技术学报, 2006, 21(9): 18-24.
Wang Mianbin, Tan Zhongfu, Zhang Rong, et al. Risk evaluation model of the power grid investment based on increment principle[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2006, 21(9): 18-24.
[2] 张焰. 电网规划中的模糊可靠性评估方法[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2000, 20(11): 77-80.
[3] 谢敏, 钟金, 吴复立, 等. 基于改进单纯形法的输电网规划项目经济评估[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2006, 30(7): 10-15.
[4] 段玉波, 刘建辉, 李凉. 基于蒙特卡罗模拟法在变电站风险评估中的研究[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2007, 7(22): 5890-5901.
[5] 罗治强, 董昱, 胡超凡. 2008年国家电网安全运行情况分析[J]. 中国电力, 2009, 42(5): 8-12.
[6] 国家电力监管委员会南方监管局. 灾害气候期间电力系统运行情况报告[R]. 广州: 国家电力监管委员会南方监管局, 2008.
[7] 中国南方电网调度通信中心. 南方电网运行应急信息报告[R]. 广州: 中国南方电网调度通信中心, 2008.
[8] Tsai C, Chen C. An earthquake disaster management mechanism based on risk assessment information for the tourism industry-a case study from the island of Taiwan[J]. Tourism Management, 2009: 1-12.
[9] Liu X, Zhang J, Cai W, et al. Information diffusion-based spatio-temporal risk analysis of grassland fire disaster in northern China[J]. Knowledge-Based Systems, 2010, 23(1): 53-60.
[10] Guikema S D. Natural disaster risk analysis for critical infrastructure systems: an approach based on statistical learning theory[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2009, 94(4): 855-860.
[11] Feng L, Luo G. Analysis on fuzzy risk of landfall typhoon in Zhejiang province of China[J]. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 2009, 79 (11): 3258-3266.
[12] Jiang W, Deng L, Chen L, et al. Risk assessment and validation of flood disaster based on fuzzy mathematics[J]. Progress in Natural Science, 2009, 19(10): 1419-1425.
[13] Iman K, Eyke H. Risk assessment system of natural hazards: a new approach based on fuzzy probability[J]. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 2007, 158(9): 987-999.
[14] Huang C, Inoue H. Soft risk maps of natural disasters and their applications to decision-making[J]. Information Sciences, 2007, 177 (7):1583-1592.
[15] 张顺谦, 侯美亭, 王素艳. 基于信息扩散和模糊评价方法的四川盆地气候干旱综合评价[J]. 自然资源学报, 2008, 23(4): 713-723.
[16] 何永秀, 黄文杰, 谭忠富, 等. 基于投入产出法的电力失负荷价值研究[J]. 电网技术, 2006, 30(1): 44-49.