电工技术学报  2015, Vol. 30 Issue (14): 233-240    DOI:
电机与电器 |
基于小波包变换及RBF神经网络的继电器寿命预测
李志刚,刘伯颖,李玲玲,孙东旺
河北工业大学电磁场与电器可靠性省部共建重点实验室 天津 300130
Life Prediction of Relay Based on Wavelet Packet Transform and RBF Neural Network
Li Zhigang,Liu Boying,Li Lingling,Sun Dongwang
Hebei Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology Tianjin 300130 China
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摘要 继电器的性能参数时序值为非平稳时间序列,为了对其工作寿命进行准确预测,本文对小波包变换原理进行了改进,利用改进的小波包变换将具有非平稳特征的继电器超程时间径流序列进行分解,使其平稳项和随机项分离,对平稳项采用传统的AR模型进行预测,对于随机项则建立基于相空间重构的RBF(径向基函数)神经网络预测模型进行预测,最后通过小波包重构方法对两种模型预测结果进行重构,实现对原始非平稳径流序列的预测。该方法通过实例验证具有较高的精度,是一种可行的方法。
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李志刚
刘伯颖
李玲玲
孙东旺
关键词 小波包变换径流序列小波包重构AR模型    
Abstract:The performance parameters sequential values of relay is non-stationary time series,In order to predict the working life of relay accurately, this paper improves the wavelet packet transform theory and using the improved wavelet packet transform theory to decompose relay overtravel time runoff of non-stationary characteristics, so that the smooth item and random item separation, for the smooth item ,using traditional AR model to predict; for random item, the RBF(radial basis function) neural network prediction model which is based on phase space reconstruction is established to predict. Finally, the results of two predict models were reconstructed through the wavelet packet reconstruction method to predict the original non-stationary runoff series. Through an example verified that this method has higher accuracy and it is an feasible method.
Key wordsWavelet packet transform    runoff series    wavelet packet reconstruction    AR model   
收稿日期: 2014-09-20      出版日期: 2015-09-08
PACS: TM12  
基金资助:国家自然科学基金(51377044,51475136),河北省自然科学基金(E2014202230),河北省高等学校创新团队领军人才培育计划(LJRC003)
作者简介: 李志刚 男,1958年生,教授,博士生导师,研究方向为电器可靠性及其检测技术、电子电器。刘伯颖 男,1979年生,副教授,博士研究生,研究方向为电器可靠性、智能信息处理。
引用本文:   
李志刚,刘伯颖,李玲玲,孙东旺. 基于小波包变换及RBF神经网络的继电器寿命预测[J]. 电工技术学报, 2015, 30(14): 233-240. Li Zhigang,Liu Boying,Li Lingling,Sun Dongwang. Life Prediction of Relay Based on Wavelet Packet Transform and RBF Neural Network. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2015, 30(14): 233-240.
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